摘要
针对装备采购,建立了以采购方、承包商为主体的双方采购模型和以采购方、主承包商、分承包商为主体的三方采购模型。基于动态演化博弈理论,分析了两种采购模型下各主体的策略选择及博弈均衡,运用AnyLogic动态模拟博弈演化过程并进行数值仿真分析。双方博弈模型中,承包商的演化均衡策略为不积极履行合同;而三方博弈模型可通过适当设计,使得主承包商积极履行合同,从而更好地保证质量。故采购方在进行采购模式选择时,选择采购方、主承包和分承包商的模式更有利,并且需要合理设置监管正确率、合同罚金、抽查率等条款。
Aiming at the equipment procurement problem,a two-party procurement model with the purchaser and the contractor as the main body and a three-party procurement model with the purchaser,the main contractor and the sub contractor as the main body are established.Based on the dynamic evolutionary game theory,the strategy selection and game equilibrium of each subject under the two procurement models are analyzed,and the game evolution process is dynamically simulated and analyzed by numerical simulation using AnyLogic.In the game model of both parties,the evolutionary equilibrium strategy of the contractor is not actively perform the contract.The three-party game model can make the main contractor actively perform the contract through proper design,so as to better guarantee the quality.Therefore,when the purchaser selects the procurement mode,it is more advantageous to select the mode of the purchaser,the main contractor and the sub contractor,and it is necessary to reasonably set the terms such as the supervision accuracy rate,the contract penalty and the spot check rate.
作者
李蕴哲
董鹏
叶卫民
文昊林
LI Yunzhe;DONG Peng;YE Weimin;WEN Haolin(Department of Management Engineering and Equipment Economics,Naval University of Engineering,Wuhan 430033,China)
出处
《计算机科学》
CSCD
北大核心
2023年第S02期967-976,共10页
Computer Science
基金
2021国家社科基金军事学项目(2021-SKJJ-C-017)。
关键词
装备采购
采购合同
演化博弈
演化均衡策略
仿真模拟
Equipment procurement
Purchase contract
Evolutionary game
Evolutionary equilibrium strategy
Analogue simulation
