摘要
政府财政收入增长促使可投入项目数量进一步增长,因此对科技投入项目进行绩效评估尤为重要.该研究基于随机层次分析法-云模型构建了新的科技投入项目绩效评估方法,并根据云模型优化模糊综合评价方法的内容,对其有效性进行了实验验证.实验结果表明,专家评估结果的期望评分大致维持在63~94分之间;个别专家的偏离度和不确定度偏大,总体权重维持在0.08~0.14之间;最终绩效评估结果分数为81.12分,超熵值处于较小的水平,为0.12.综合来看,该研究给出的SAHP-云模型绩效评估方法降低了专家评估中的模糊性和随机性,提升了评估结果的科学性和合理性,具有较强的实用性.
The growth of government revenue also promotes the further growth of the number of projects that can be invested,so it is particularly important to evaluate the performance of science and technology investment projects.The current project performance evaluation mostly adopt expert evaluation methods,which have strong shortcomings of subjectivity and randomness.Therefore,a new performance evaluation method for science and technology investment projects was built based on SAHP cloud model.According to the content of fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method optimized by cloud model,the application effectiveness of preference representation,expert weight determination and information combination were verified by experiments.The experimental results show that the expected score of expert evaluation results was generally maintained between 63 and 94.In addition,the deviation and uncertainty of individual experts were too large,so the overall weight was maintained between 0.08-0.14.At the same time,the score of final performance evaluation result was 81.13,and the super entropy value was at a small level of 0.13.In a word,the performance evaluation method of SAHP cloud model given in the study reduced the fuzziness and randomness in expert evaluation,improved the scientificity and rationality of evaluation results,and has strong practicability.
作者
马威
李屹然
MA Wei;LI Yiran(Business School of Chongqing University of Humanities and Technology,Hechuan Chongqing 401524,China;School of Law and Economics,Chongqing University of Science and Technology,Chongqing 401331,China)
出处
《西南大学学报（自然科学版）》
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2023年第10期160-168,共9页
Journal of Southwest University(Natural Science Edition)
基金
国家自然科学基金青年项目(72004186)
重庆市教委科学技术研究项目(KJQN202201522).
关键词
随机层次分析法
云模型
科技投入
项目绩效评估
SAHP
cloud model
scientific and technological investment
project performance evaluation
