摘要
数字技术和要素禀赋作为推动旅游经济增长的驱动力量与行动资源,深刻影响着旅游产业结构升级。基于中国30个省份2013—2020年数据,运用固定效应模型(FE)、两阶段最小二乘法(2SLS)、分位数回归(QR)和面板门槛模型(TM),探讨数字技术、要素禀赋及其协同作用对旅游产业结构升级的影响。结果发现:数字技术对旅游产业结构升级具有推动作用,且存在边际递减趋势;要素禀赋也显著促进旅游产业结构升级,却存在边际递增趋势;数字技术与要素禀赋的协同作用显著为负,在数字技术的冲击下,要素禀赋对旅游产业结构升级产生了消极影响。此外,要素禀赋对旅游产业结构升级存在基于数字技术的单一门槛效应,跨过门槛值后,要素禀赋对旅游产业结构升级的推动作用得以显现。文章结论丰富了数字技术、要素禀赋与旅游产业结构升级的相关研究,为推进旅游经济高质量发展拓宽了政策思路。
Digital technology and factor endowment,as driving forces and action resources to promote tourist economy growth,profoundly affect the upgrading of tourism industrial structure.Based on the data of 30 Chinese provinces from 2013 to 2020,the fixed effects model(FE),two-stage least squares(2SLS),quantile regression(QR)and panel threshold model(TM)are used to explore the influence of digital technology,factor endowment and their synergistic effects on the upgrading of tourism industrial structure.The results find that:Digital technology has a driving effect on the upgrading of tourism industrial structure with a marginal decreasing trend;factor endowment al-so significantly contributes to the upgrading of tourism industrial structure,yet with a marginal increasing trend;the synergy between digital technology and factor endowment is significantly negative,and factor endowment has a nega-tive influence on the upgrading of tourism industrial structure under the impact of digital technology.In addition,there is a single threshold effect of factor endowment on the upgrading of tourism industrial structure based on digi-tal technology.After crossing the threshold value,the promoting effect of factor endowment on the upgrading of tour-ism industrial structure will appear.The findings of this paper enrich the research related to digital technology,fac-tor endowment and tourism industrial structure upgrading,and also broaden the policy ideas for promoting the high-quality development of tourism economy.
作者
冀雁龙
夏青
JI Yanlong;XIA Qing(School of Yungangology,Shanxi Datong University,Datong 037009,China)
出处
《经济论坛》
2023年第5期83-96,共14页
Economic Forum
基金
国家自然科学基金“环境规制对中国经济平衡发展的影响:基于地区、产业、城乡视角的研究”(71964032)
国家社会科学基金“治理现代化下偏向型技术进步促进工业绿色转型升级的机理与路径研究”(20XJL012)
新疆维吾尔自治区社会科学项目“新疆经济高质量发展路径研究”(19BJL028)。
关键词
要素禀赋
数字技术
旅游产业结构升级
分位数回归
门槛效应
Factor endowment
Digital technology
Tourism industrial structure upgrading
Quantile regres-sion
Threshold effect
