摘要
基于2014—2018年中国592个原国家级贫困县的面板数据,采用固定效应模型与面板分位数模型,实证分析财政依赖、数字普惠金融对农民增收的影响。结果表明:县域财政依赖导致自身经济发展“造血”功能不足,对实现农民持续增收存在负向冲击,且这种负向冲击会随着农民收入的提高而增强;县域数字普惠金融发展能够显著促进县域农民增收,但增收效应存在边际递减趋势;数字普惠金融的发展能够有效缓解财政依赖对农民增收的负向冲击,有利于农民实现可持续增收;财政依赖、数字普惠金融对农民增收的影响效应因所处地理位置、城镇化率、收入水平的不同而存在显著的异质性特征。据此,建议大力发展县域数字普惠金融,因地制宜制定数字普惠金融的发展战略,让农民获得“数字”红利,以期在后脱贫时代巩固拓展脱贫攻坚成果、全面推进乡村振兴。
Based on the panel data of 592 former national-level impoverished counties in China from 2014 to 2018,a fixed-effects model and a panel quantile model were used to empirically analyze the effects of fiscal dependence and digital inclusive finance on farmers’income growth.The results shows that the fiscal dependence of counties leads to insufficient“blood building”function of their own economic development,which has a negative impact on farmers’sustainable income growth,and this negative impact is stronger in counties with higher fiscal dependence.While the development of digital inclusive finance in counties can significantly promote the income growth of farmers in counties,there is a marginal decreasing trend of the income growth effect.The development of digital inclusive finance can effectively alleviate the negative impact of fiscal dependence on farmers’income growth,which is beneficial to achieving farmers’sustainable income growth.Besides,the effects of fiscal dependence and digital inclusive finance on farmers’income growth have significant heterogeneous characteristics depending on their geographical locations,urbanization rates,and income levels.Accordingly,it is recommended to vigorously develop digital inclusive finance in counties,and formulate development strategies for digital inclusive finance based on local conditions so that farmers receive“digital”dividends to consolidate and expand the fruits of poverty eradication and promote rural revitalization in the post-poverty era.
作者
邓金钱
蒋云亮
DENG Jinqian;JIANG Yunliang(School of Economics,Lanzhou University,Lanzhou 730000,China;Silk Road Economic Belt Construction Research Center,Lanzhou University,Lanzhou 730000,China)
出处
《农林经济管理学报》
CSSCI
北大核心
2023年第3期330-340,共11页
Journal of Agro-Forestry Economics and Management
基金
国家社会科学基金西部项目(22XJL011)
甘肃省哲学社会科学规划项目(2021YB009)
中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金项目(2022jbkyjd010)。
关键词
财政依赖
数字普惠金融
农民增收
县域
fiscal dependence
digital inclusive finance
farmers’income growth
county
