摘要
物流业是构成现代经济发展的重要产业,物流业高质量发展也是经济高质量发展的助推剂。论文基于2011~2020年长江经济带物流业的发展数据,采用三阶段DEA模型进行物流效率时空分析,利用Tobit模型进一步分析外部环境对物流效率的影响,并采用Malmquist模型对物流效率进行动态分析。结果表明:(1)长江经济带各省市物流发展水平呈现差异化,其中下游地区发展水平明显超过中游地区,上游地区最低。(2)在外部环境影响因素中,外贸水平和信息技术水平对物流效率没有显著影响,产业结构对区域物流效率呈显著正向影响,区位商对区域物流效率呈显著负向影响。(3)技术进步是全要素生产效率提高的关键因素。论文为提升长江经济带物流效率提出了相应的政策建议。
Logistics industry is an important industry of modern economic development,the high-quality development of logistics industry is also the booster of high-quality economic development.Based on the development data of the logistics industry in the Yangtze River Economic Belt from 2011 to 2020,the three-stage DEA model was used in this paper to analyze the logistics efficiency of the Yangtze River Economic Belt in time and space,the Tobit model was used to further analyze the impact of external environment on logistics efficiency,and the Malmquist model was adopted to dynamically analyze the logistics efficiency.The results show that:(1)The logistics development level of provinces and cities in the Yangtze River Economic Belt is differentiated,and the development level of the downstream region is significantly higher than that of the midstream region,while the upstream region is the lowest.(2)Among the external environmental factors,foreign trade level and information technology level have no significant impact on logistics efficiency,and industrial structure has a significant positive impact on regional logistics efficiency,while location quotient has a significant negative impact on regional logistics efficiency.(3)Technological progress is the key factor to improve total factor production efficiency.Finally,corresponding policy suggestions have been put forward in this paper to improve the logistics efficiency of the Yangtze River Economic Belt.
作者
梁雯
殷伟伟
Liang Wen;Yin Weiwei(School of Business,Anhui University,Hefei 230039,Anhui)
出处
《长江大学学报（社会科学版）》
2022年第5期106-114,共9页
Journal of Yangtze University（Social Sciences Edition）
基金
国家社会科学基金项目“新型城镇化背景下小城镇电子商务物流发展研究”(15BJY117)
教育部人文社会科学基金项目“新时代下物流业与新型城镇化协调发展效率研究——以长三角为例”(20YJA790043)
安徽高校人文社会科学研究重点项目“新型城镇化发展对安徽省物流产业效率影响及路径分析”(SK2019A0034)
安徽省高校项目“新时代城镇化建设下安徽省物流高质量发展路径研究”(YJS20210072)
中国物流学会课题“物流强国”战略下城镇化与物流高质量发展研究(2022CLSKT3-094)。
