摘要
采用模糊集定性分析方法(fsQCA),构建“压力-动力-能力”模型,研究中国各省份政府与社会资本合作模式(PPP)项目投资规模的差异性问题。研究表明,在地理因素、人口规模、地方政府发文数量、地方债务率和地方市场化程度五个因素中,人口规模是决定PPP项目投资规模最重要的因素,但其并非独立起作用。五个因素中,至少需要存在三个前因因素才会导出项目高投资额这一结果变量。因此“压力-动力-能力”模型表现为一种互嵌结构,大多数省份是压力因素与动力因素之间存在适配性而且相互强化;部分省份则是动力因素与能力制约因素之间存在替代性而且相互抵消。未来,随着人口规模的扩大,各地区对于PPP模式的需求会进一步上升,因此,应该通过优化PPP项目所处的制度环境,进一步加大中国中西部地区PPP专项转移支付,使PPP模式获得更加优质而充分的发展。
This paper constructs a“pressure-power-capability”model by using fuzzy-set qualitative analysis method(fsQCA)to study the differences in the investment scale of PPP projects in various provinces in China.Studies have shown that among the five factors of geographical factors,population size,number of local government documents,local debt ratio and degree of marketization,population size is the most important factor in determining the investment scale of PPP projects,but it does not work independently.Among the five factors,at least three antecedents must be present to derive the result variable of high project investment.Therefore,the“pressure-power-capability”model exhibits a mutual embedding structure.In most provinces,pressure factors and power factors can be well matched to each other and strengthen each other;in some provinces,power factors and capacity constraints substitute and offset each other.In the future,as the population size expands,the demand for PPP models in various regions will further increase.Therefore,the institutional environment in which PPP projects are located should be optimized,and the special transfer payments for PPP in the central and western regions should be increased to make PPP models gain greater development.
作者
马桑
陈冰
MA Sang;CHEN Bing(School of Government Management,Yunnan University,Kunming,650500,China)
出处
《云南财经大学学报》
CSSCI
北大核心
2022年第8期100-110,共11页
Journal of Yunnan University of Finance and Economics
基金
国家社会科学基金项目“地方政府PPP引导基金风险控制研究”(17BGL048)
国家社会科学基金项目“基于大数据的公共管理基础理论、研究方法与实践案例研究”(19FGLB063)。
