摘要
文章基于数字经济影响产业升级与就业调整的理论分析,利用2011~2019年中国30个省的统计数据实证检验数字经济、产业升级与就业调整之间的关系。研究发现,数字经济不仅能够推动产业升级,而且有利于提升就业水平。在产业内,数字经济能够提升高技术制造业的就业占比,同时减少低技术制造业的就业占比,劳动力由低技术部门向高技术部门转移;在产业间,数字经济有利于提高第三产业就业占比,降低第一、第二产业的就业占比,劳动力从第一、第二产业向第三产业转移;数字经济显著提升高学历劳动力的就业占比,不利于低学历劳动力就业。当前产业升级与稳就业总体能够协同推进,但存在短期的失业问题,公共政策应注重推动数字产业化和产业数字化,提升劳动力的数字技能,保障低学历失业群体的基本权益。
Based on the internal mechanism of the impact of digital technology on industrial upgrading and employment adjustment,this paper empirically tests the relationship between digital economy,industrial upgrading and employment adjustment by using the statistical data of Chinese 30 provinces from 2011 to 2019.The study finds that digital economy can not only promote industrial upgrading,but also beconduciveto the improvement of regional employment level.Within industries,the digital economy can promote the employment of high-tech manufacturing industry,but reducethe employment of low-tech manufacturing industry,and the labor force is transferred from low-tech sector to high-tech sector.Among industries,digitaleconomy is conducive to the promotion of employment inthetertiary industry,reduces the employment in the primary and secondary industries,and transfers labor force from the primary and secondary industriesto thetertiary industry.The development of digital economy can significantly improve the employment of highly educated labor force,but it is not conducive to the employment of the loweducated.In the current situation,industrial upgradingand stable employment can bepromoted together,but the problems of short-term unemployment exist.Public policy should focus on promoting digital industrialization and industrial digital development,improving the digital skills of labor groups and protecting the basic rightsand interests of low educated groups.
出处
《中国人口科学》
CSSCI
北大核心
2022年第3期99-110,128,共13页
Chinese Journal of Population Science
基金
国家社会科学基金一般项目“数字技术驱动就业技能结构转变的内在机理、效应评估和应对政策研究”(编号:21BJY087)的阶段性成果。
