摘要
当前,我国经济发展正由高速增长向高质量转变,这就意味着需要提高绿色经济效率,实现绿色发展。经济政策不确定性作为经济发展中不可避免的因素,对绿色发展至关重要。因此,使用2004—2018年城市面板数据,通过双向固定效应模型分析经济政策不确定性与绿色经济效率的关系及影响机制。结果表明,经济政策不确定性与绿色经济效率的负向关系存在于资源型城市、西部地区城市、环境治理压力小的城市和市场化程度高的城市。中介效应结果表明,金融发展在经济政策不确定性与绿色经济效率的关系中发挥了部分中介效应,其中以金融发展中的金融规模和金融结构为主要传导路径。可见,为了尽快实现经济高质量发展,各地政府应尽量保持经济政策的连续性,同时应在充分考虑城市的资源禀赋、经济发展水平、环境治理压力和市场化程度等因素之后精准施策,并优化金融资源的配置。
At present,with the transformation of China's economy from high-speed growth to high-quality development,it requires to improve the efficiency of the green economy to achieve green development.As an inevitable factor in economic development,economic policy uncertainty is crucial to green development.Therefore,based on the local panel data from 2004 to 2018,using the two-way fixed effect model,this paper investigates the relationship and mechanism between economic policy uncertainty and the efficiency of the green economy.The negative relationship between economic policy uncertainty and green economic efficiency exists in resource-based cities,western cities,cities with low environmental pressure,and cities with a high degree of marketization.The results of mediating effect show that financial development plays a part mediating effect on the relationship between economic policy uncertainty and green economic efficiency,and the financial scale and financial structure in financial development are the main transmission path.Therefore,local governments should try their best to maintain the continuity of economic policies in order to achieve high-quality economic development as soon as possible,take precise policies into full consideration of the city's resource endowment,economic development level,environmental governance pressure,and degree of marketization at the same time,and optimize the allocation of financial resources.
作者
蔡晓陈
徐红霞
CAI Xiaochen;XU Hongxia(School of Economics, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, Chengdu 611130, China)
出处
《南京财经大学学报》
CSSCI
2022年第1期54-63,共10页
Journal of Nanjing University of Finance and Economics
基金
国家社会科学基金项目“有偏技术进步、全要素生产率与供给侧结构性改革路径研究”(17BJL003)。
关键词
经济政策不确定性
绿色经济效率
财政支出
金融发展
economic policy uncertainty
green economic efficiency
fiscal expenditure
financial development
