摘要
近些年,我国城镇化发展迅速,越来越多的建筑以区域形式建设并配备有集中供能系统。但区域性集中能源系统具有相对复杂、投资大、大体量能源管理需求的特点。由于区域建筑的多建筑数量、多建筑类型、多不确定性的特征,负荷预测难度较大,有一定的不确定性。对区域能源资源、区域建筑电力系统以及冷热负荷预测方法的研究现状进行综述,通过对比分析各类型预测方法,探讨其适用对象。
China is recently in the increasing urbanization development.More and more district buildings are established and energy is supplied by central district energy system.However,the district energy system is complex,with high investment and massive energy management.Owing multi-buildings,multi-serviceability and more uncertainty features,energy load prediction is more difficult than single building,as well as energy resource.Energy resource and load prediction methods about district buildings are reviewed in this paper.The suitability evaluations are carried out for energy resource,power system and cooling and heating load prediction methods.
作者
冯逸夫
徐以洋
薛乔匀
张吉
FENG Yifu;XU Yiyang;XUE Qiaoyun;ZHANG Ji(ZKHY (Beijing) Energy Internet Research Institute Co., Ltd.,Beijing 100084;Power China East China Survey,Design and Research Institute Co., Ltd.,Hangzhou 311100;School of Environment and Energy Engineering,Collaborative Innovation Center of Energy Conservation & Emission Reduction and Sustainable Urban-Rural Development in Beijing,Beijing University of Civil Engineering and Architecture,Beijing 100044;Building Energy Research Center,Tsinghua University,Beijing 100084)
出处
《北京建筑大学学报》
2021年第4期51-59,共9页
Journal of Beijing University of Civil Engineering and Architecture
基金
国家重点研发计划项目(2019YFE0100300-24)。
关键词
区域建筑
能源资源预测
电力负荷预测
冷热负荷预测
district buildings
energy resource prediction
power load prediction
cooling and heating load prediction
