摘要
根据2008—2018年相关数据,利用SPSS 25.0和最小二乘法实现模型的参数估计分析山东省农产品进出口与经济增长之间的耦合关系及其存在的主要问题,并提出相应的建议。结果表明,进出口贸易对GDP、第一产业产值有明显促进作用,出口的效果最为显著,且出口贸易对于GDP、第一产业产值的增长作用强于进口贸易。同时,政府、企业、个人在农产品进出口方面皆存在问题,贸易壁垒、深加工技术和产需矛盾、品牌建设成为影响山东省农产品进出口贸易的重要因素。由此,提出如下建议:发展生态农业,完善农产品生产标准体系;调整产业链条,提高农产品附加值;加大农业科研投入,提高重要粮食产量;增加农产品进口来源,保证农产品质量。
Based on the relevant data in 2008-2018,this paper uses SPSS 25.0 and least-square method for parameter estimation in the model of the coupling relationship between the import and export trade of agricultural products and economic growth in Shandong Province and its main problems,and put forward corresponding suggestions.The study found that import and export trade on GDP,primary industry output has a significant role in promoting value,the export effect is the most significant,and export trade for GDP,primary industry output value growth effect is stronger than import trade.Meanwhile,the government,enterprises,individuals all have problems in the import and export of agricultural products.Trade barriers,deep processing technology,contradictions between production and demand and brand construction are important factors that affect the import and export of agricultural products in Shandong Province.Therefore,the following suggestions are put forward:develop ecological agriculture and perfect the standard system of agricultural production;adjust the industrial chain and increase the added value of agricultural products;increase investment in agricultural scientific research and increase important grain yield;increase the source of imports of agricultural products and ensure the quality of agricultural products.
作者
高吉星
苏昱
郭蓉
贾楠
王少慧
黄维昌
GAO Ji-xing;SU Yu;GUO Rong(College of Geography and Environment,Shandong Normal University,Jinan,Shandong 250358)
出处
《安徽农业科学》
CAS
2021年第4期222-226,共5页
Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences
基金
山东师范大学大学生创新创业训练计划项目(201910445530)。
关键词
农产品
进出口贸易
经济增长
耦合
山东省
Agricultural products
Import and export trade
Economic growth
Coupling
Shandong Province
