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数字经济、贸易开放与“一带一路”沿线国家经济增长 被引量:29

The Impact of Digital Economy and Trade Openness on the Economic Growth of the“Belt and Road”Countries
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摘要 数字经济的融合发展,逐渐成为推动经济增长的新兴动力。自“一带一路”发展倡议提出以来,在中国的帮助和大力推动下,沿线国家的开放水平和经济增长水平得到极大提升。将数字经济和贸易开放纳入到理论分析架构中,采用53个“一带一路”沿线国家2007—2016年的面板数据,构建实证模型分析了数字经济发展和贸易开放水平对经济增长的作用机制。研究表明,数字经济发展水平对经济增长具有正向促进作用;贸易开放与经济增长呈现U型抛物线非线性关系;开放经济条件下,数字经济发展对经济增长的促进效应会进一步放大。因此,应加强数字经济相关基础设施建设,正确认识贸易开放水平与经济增长的非线性关系,加速提升贸易开放质量,进一步加强中国与“一带一路”沿线国家的互利共赢合作。 The integration and development of the digital economy has gradually become an emerging driving force for economic growth.Since the"One Belt,One Road"development initiative was put forward,with the help and vigorous promotion of China,the level of openness and economic growth of countries along the route have been greatly enhanced.Incorporate the digital economy and trade opening into the theoretical model,and use the panel data of the 53“Belt and Road”countries from 2007 to 2016 to construct an empirical model to analyze the mechanism of digital economic development and trade openness on economic growth.Research shows that the level of digital economic development has a positive effect on economic growth;trade openness and economic growth show a U-shaped parabolic nonlinear relationship;under the open economy,the promotion effect of digital economic development on economic growth will be further amplified.Therefore,we should strengthen the construction of infrastructure related to the digital economy and correctly understand the non-linear relationship between the level of trade openness and economic growth.Accelerate the improvement of the quality of trade openness and further strengthen the mutually beneficial and win-win cooperation between China and the countries along the“Belt and Road”.
作者 陈福中 Chen Fuzhong
出处 《兰州学刊》 CSSCI 2020年第11期100-112,共13页
基金 国家自然科学基金青年科学基金项目“基于生产要素维度扩展的技术变化对产业结构演进的影响研究”(项目编号:71603049) 对外经济贸易大学优秀青年学者资助项目“技术创新对产业结构变迁的影响:基于要素维度拓展的视角”(项目编号:18YQ07)。
关键词 数字经济 贸易开放 经济增长 “一带一路”倡议 digital economy trade openness economic growth the“Belt and Road”initiative
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