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中美贸易摩擦对中国大豆进口贸易成本的影响研究 被引量:15

A Study about the Impact of Sino-US Trade Friction on the Trade Cost of Soybean Import in China
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摘要 大豆进口对中国大豆产业具有重要影响,贸易成本又对国际贸易影响显著。为检验中国大豆进口在贸易成本方面是否具有规模效应,并探索中美贸易摩擦对中国大豆进口的影响情况,选择贸易成本视角,重新推导能够简单计算中国大豆进口贸易成本和单位进口贸易成本的测度方程并以Anderson & Wincoop(2004)对贸易成本的研究作为理论依据构建贸易成本影响因素检验模型,进而利用1992—2018年中国大豆进口贸易相关数据进行实证检验分析,结果显示:尽管中国大豆进口规模在不断扩大,但中国大豆进口在贸易成本上并没有形成规模效应;中美贸易摩擦对中国大豆进口贸易成本的增加具有正向影响,但并不具有显著性,而其对中美大豆进口贸易成本和中美大豆单位进口贸易成本的增加均具有显著的正向影响。最后,文章从提升规模效应和正视中美贸易摩擦两个方面提出了降低中国大豆进口贸易成本,提升大豆进口贸易效益的建议。 Soybean import has an important impact on China's soybean industry, while trade cost has a significant impact on international trade. In or-der to test whether China's soybean import has scale effect in terms of trade cost, and to explore the impact of Sino-US trade friction on China's soy-bean import, this paper deduces the measurement equation that can simply calculate China's soybean import trade cost and unit import trade cost fromthe perspective of trade cost, and takes Anderson & Wincoop(2004) research on trade cost as the theory base to construct the test model of trade costinfluencing factors. Then, this paper analyzes the relevant data of China's soybean import trade from 1992 to 2018 empirically. The results show that:although the scale of China's soybean import is expanding, China's soybean import has no scale effect on trade cost;Sino-US trade friction has a sig-nificant impact on China's soybean import trade cost. There is a positive impact, but not significant, and it has a significant positive impact on the Si-no-US soybean import trade cost and the increase of Sino-US soybean unit import trade cost. Finally, the paper puts forward some suggestions to reducethe cost of China's soybean import trade and improve the benefits of soybean import trade from two aspects: enhancing the scale effect and facing upto the trade friction between China and the United States.
作者 王瑞峰 李爽 Wang Ruifeng;Li Shuang(Qingdao Huanghai University,Qingdao 266427,China;Northeast Agricultural University,Harbin 150030,China)
出处 《当代经济管理》 CSSCI 北大核心 2020年第8期47-53,共7页 Contemporary Economic Management
基金 黑龙江省哲学社会科学规划项目《黑龙江省粮食安全保障能力提升路径研究》(19JYB031)。
关键词 中美贸易摩擦 大豆进口 贸易成本 影响因素 Sino-US trade friction soybean import trade cost influencing factors
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