摘要
新冠疫情将会动摇过去几十年中建立起来的产品内分工体系的基础。未来各国只有不再继续沿用降低交易成本这样一个纯经济概念来支持疫情后的产品内分工,社会成本才可能是产业配置的最终决定标准。过去由西方发达国家跨国企业主导的全球价值链(GVC),将会在未来发生猛烈的规模缩减、范围缩小、地理变更和形式变化,但世界上没有一个国家可以将中国产业链完全撇开或替代。疫情后中国还要坚决维护以嵌入GVC形式的经济全球化,但是原来的嵌入战略需要调整。中国参与新一轮经济全球化的方式,可能要由过去的出口导向的全球化战略转向利用内需的经济全球化战略.基于中国企业对GVC与地方性产业集群双重嵌入的现实,未来中国政府应该主动地推进全球产业链集群的建设步伐,以应对未来全球化方向演变的趋势。
The COVID-19 pandemic will shake the foundation of the intra-product specialization system es-tablished in the past few decades.In the future,only when all countries no longer continue to use such a pure economic concept as reducing transaction costs to support the intra-product special ization after the pandemic,social costs are likely to be the final decisive criterion for industrial allocation.The glob-al value chain(GVC)dominated by multinational companies in Western developed countries in the past will undergo drastic reduction in scale and scope as well as change in geography and form in the future,but no country in the world can completely abandon or replace China's industrial chain.After the pan-demic,China will still resolutely maintain economic globalization in the form of being embedded in GVC,but the previous embedded strategy needs to be adjusted.The way China participates in the new round of economic globalization may shift from the previous export-oriented globalization to the eco-nomic globalization strategy of utilizing domestic demand.According to the reality of Chinese compa-nies embedded in both GVC and local industrial clusters,the Chinese govermment should actively pro-mote the construction of global industrial chain clusters in order to respond to the trend of globalization in the future.
出处
《江苏社会科学》
CSSCI
北大核心
2020年第4期16-23,241,共9页
Jiangsu Social Sciences
