摘要
以曲靖市为研究案例地,构建评价两者协调发展的指标体系,借助综合功效函数和耦合协调度模型,对2006—2015年曲靖市生态环境与旅游经济协调指数进行测算,并采用VAR模型验证两者长期的动态关系。结果表明:①2006—2015年,曲靖市生态环境和旅游经济综合评价指数总体上均呈现增长态势,生态环境与旅游经济评价值由量变发生质变。②2006—2015年,曲靖市生态环境与旅游经济协调效应逐渐由弱转强,整体上呈现出良好发展势头;二者耦合协调阶段经历了“协调衰退阶段(2006—2008年)→协调过渡阶段(2009—2010年)→协调发展阶段(2011—2015年)”的演化轨迹,呈现趋向良性协调过渡的阶段性特征。③曲靖市生态环境与旅游经济均存在长期均衡,两者互为格兰杰原因,生态环境质量的稳定性同时受到自身内部结构和旅游经济的双重影响,旅游经济增长的稳定性前期在很大程度上依赖于其自身内部结构和生态环境的双重影响,后期旅游经济系统对生态环境系统的响应趋向平稳,生态环境对城市旅游发展的影响表现出持久性特征。
The coordinated development of urban ecological environment and tourism economy is of great significance to the realization of ecological civilization in the region.Taking Qujing City as a case study,as well as based on the analysis of the coupling mechanism between ecological environment and tourism economy,an index system for evaluating the coordinated development of the two is constructed,and the ecological environment is constructed by means of comprehensive power function and coordination degree model of Qujing City from 2006 to 2015.In addition,using the VAR model to verify the long-term dynamic interaction between urban ecological environment and tourism economy.The results show that:1)From 2006 to 2015,the comprehensive evaluation index of ecological environment and tourism economy in Qujing City showed an overall growth trend,and the evaluation values of ecological environment and tourism economy changed from weak to strong.2)From 2006 to 2015,The coordination effect of the ecological environment and tourism economy gradually turned from weak to strong of Qujing City,and the overall development showed a good momentum of development;the coupling and coordination phase experienced a"coordinated recession phase(2006-2008)→coordinated transition phase(2009-2010)→coordinated development phase(2011-2015)presents a staged characteristic of a benign coordinated transition.3)Both the ecological environment and the tourism economy have a long-term equilibrium,and the two are mutually two-way Granger reasons,and the stability of the ecological environment quality is simultaneously influenced by its internal structure.With the dual impact of tourism economy,the stability of tourism economic growth depends to a large extent on its own internal structure and the quality of ecological environment.The response of the later tourism economic system to the ecological environment system tends to be stable,and the impact of the ecological environment on urban tourism development shows persistent characteristics.
作者
郭向阳
穆学青
丁正山
明庆忠
陆保一
GUO Xiangyang;MU Xueqing;DING Zhengshan;MING Qingzhong;LU Baoyi(School of Geography Science,Nanjing Normal University,Nanjing 210023,Jiangsu,China;Jiangsu Center for Collaborative Innovation in Geographical Information Resource Development and Application,Nanjing 210023,Jiangsu,China;College of Tourism and Geography,Yunnan Normal University,Kunming 650500,Yunnan,China;Institute of Tourism and Culture Industry,Yunnan University of Finance and Economics,Kunming 650221,Yunnan,China)
出处
《经济地理》
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2020年第7期231-240,共10页
Economic Geography
基金
国家自然科学基金项目(41961021、41671147)
国家自然科学基金(青年基金)项目(41301144、41901205)。
关键词
旅游业
生态环境系统
旅游经济系统
协调效应
脉冲响应
VAR模型
曲靖市
tourism
ecological environment system
tourism economy system
coordination effect
impulse response
VAR model
Qujing City
