摘要
从产业融合视角构建文化与旅游产业发展综合评价指标体系,选择熵值法、协调度模型、空间索数据分析法和空间回归模型SEM,运用ArcGIS10.2和GeoDa工具,测算2008—2017年中国31个省市区文化和旅游产业综合发展水平,分析其协调度时空分异特征,并探究其协调度的动力机制。结果发现:①2008—2017年中国31省市区文化和旅游产业发展均值经历了以2011、2013年为节点上升—下降—缓慢上升的三个阶段,文化和旅游产业发展水平与政府政策条件有显著关系。空间差异上看,中国文化和旅游产业发展水平整体上表现出从沿海到内陆的递减规律。②2008—2017年文化产业与旅游产业协调度呈现波动上升态势;整体协调度等级水平相对较低,以失调—协调过渡等级、轻度协调等级为主;协调度省际差异随时间推移呈现波动性缩小态势,均衡趋势有所显现。③2008—2017年文化产业与旅游产业协调度全局和局部空间相关性均十分显著。其中,局部自相关格局呈随时间推移演化特征,H-H区省区范围扩大,但其区域重心依然在长三角地区,L-H区分布较为分散且范围有所缩减,L-L和H-L区省区范围长期保持稳定不变。④消费需求、市场供给、科技创新、政策环境、基础设施和人力资源均是文化和旅游产业协调的重要驱动力,消费需求是文化旅游产业协调的最强劲动力源。但政策环境的调控驱动作用尚未发挥,基础设施发展呈现出负向催化驱动效应。
Constructing a comprehensive evaluation index system for the development of culture and tourism industry from the perspective of industrial integration.Chooses coordination model,exploratory spatial data analysis and spatial error model(SEM)by the entropy method,and the tools of ArcGIS 10.2 and GeoDa.This paper estimated the comprehensive development level of culture and tourism industry among 31 provinces in China from 2008 to 2017.The space-time differentiation characteristics of its coordination degree are discussed,and the dynamic mechanism of its coupling coordination is explored.The results show that:1)From 2008 to 2017,the average value of cultural and tourism industry development in 31 provinces and cities in China experienced three stages:rising,declining and slowly rising with the nodes of 2011 and 2013,and the level of cultural and tourism industry development is significantly related to the government's policy conditions.From the perspective of spatial differences,the development level of Chinese culture and tourism industry showed a decreasing rule from coastal to inland as a whole.2)From 2008 to 2017,the coordination degree of the two showed a fluctuating upward trend,which was a good trend;the level of the coupling coordination degree was relatively low,the disorder-coordination transition level and the slight coordination level accounted for the biggest proportion;the inter-provincial differences of the coupling coordination degree showed a decreasing trend over time,and the equilibrium trend appeared.3)The global and local spatial correlation of coordination degree between cultural industry and tourism industry in 2008-2017 is significant.the local autocorrelation pattern showed the evolution characteristics over time,and the provincial scope of H-H region.However,its regional center of gravity was still in the Yangtze River Delta region.The distribution of L-H region was scattered and its scope was reducing.The provincial scope of L-L and H-L regions has remained stable for a long time.4)Consumption demand,market supply,market scientific and technological innovation,policy environment,infrastructure and human resources are all important driving forces for the coupling of culture and tourism industry.Consumption demand is the strongest driving force for the coupling of culture and tourism industry.However,the policy environment has not yet played its due role in regulating and driving,and Infrastructure development has shown a negative catalytic driving effect.
作者
刘安乐
杨承玥
明庆忠
张红梅
陆保一
LIU Anle;YANG Chengyue;MING Qingzhong;ZHANG Hongmei;LU Baoyi(Institute of Tourism Culture Industry,Yunnan University of Finance and Economics,Kunming 650221,Yunnan China;School of Tourism and Historical Culture,Liupanshui Normal University,Liupanshui 553004,Guizhou China;School of Tourism and Geographical Science Yunnan Normal University,Kunming 650500,Yunnan China)
出处
《经济地理》
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2020年第6期203-213,共11页
Economic Geography
基金
国家自然科学基金项目(41961021、41671147)
国家社会科学基金项目(19CGL029)
云南省社会科学界联合会智库重大项目(SHZK2019104)
云南省哲学社会科学重大项目(ZDZB201802)
贵州省教育科学规划项目(2017C038)
云南财经大学研究生创新基金项目(2019YUFEY034)。
关键词
旅游产业
文化产业
文旅融合发展
产业融合
协调态势
消费需求
科技创新
tourism industry
cultural industry
integrated development of culture and tourism
industry integration
coordination situation
consumption demand
technological innovation
