摘要
在全面实施乡村振兴战略的大背景下,普惠金融发展成为影响一个国家或地区农村繁荣的重要因素。为研究我国农业大省——四川省普惠金融发展对其乡村振兴的影响,选取2003—2017年相关时间序列数据为样本,建立省级乡村振兴与普惠金融综合评价指标体系,运用客观确权法-熵权法测度与分析了四川省乡村振兴与普惠金融发展情况。在此基础上,构建VAR模型,并运用协整检验、脉冲响应和格兰杰检验等方法实证探究了四川省普惠金融发展对乡村振兴的影响。研究结果显示,长期中四川省普惠金融发展与乡村振兴之间存在正向均衡关系,而短期中普惠金融发展对乡村振兴的正向影响效果比较微弱,有待合理推动区域普惠金融建设来保障乡村振兴战略的有效实施。
In the context of the overall implementation of the rural revitalization strategy,inclusive financial development has become an important factor affecting the rural prosperity of a country or a region.In order to study the impact of the development of inclusive finance on the rural revitalization of Sichuan Province,a major agricultural province in China,this paper selects relevant time series data from 2003 to 2017 as samples,establishes comprehensive evaluation index system of provincial rural revitalization and inclusive finance,and measures and analyzes the development of rural revitalization and inclusive finance in Sichuan Province by using the objective weight determination entropy weight method.On this basis,the VAR model is constructed,and the impact of inclusive finance development on rural revitalization in Sichuan Province is explored by means of co-integration test,impulse response test and Granger test.The results show that there is a positive equilibrium relationship between the development of inclusive finance and rural revitalization in Sichuan Province in the long term,while the positive effect of the development of inclusive finance on rural revitalization in the short term is relatively weak,and it is necessary to reasonably promote the construction of regional inclusive finance to ensure the effective implementation of rural revitalization strategy.
作者
马俊
MA Jun(School of Finance Xinjiang University of Finance and Economics,Urumqi 830012,Xinjiang)
出处
《河北农业大学学报（社会科学版）》
2020年第2期55-63,共9页
Journal of Hebei Agricultural University (SOCIAL SCIENCES)
基金
新疆财经大学研究生基金项目:“新疆普惠金融对乡村振兴影响的效率评估”(编号:XJUFE2019K004)。
关键词
普惠金融发展
乡村振兴
正向均衡关系
inclusive financial development
rural revitalization
positive equilibrium relationship
