摘要
针对新冠肺炎疫情前后2个月某省级电网运行数据,分析疫情对电力供需及调度运行的影响,并结合历年GDP与负荷变化趋势,基于长短期记忆网络建立负荷预测模型,预测2020年各季度高峰负荷,为某省级电网运行方式制定提供参考依据。
For some provincial power grid operation data of two months before and after the epidemic,analyze the impact of epdemic on the power supply and demand and dispatch operation of Power Grid.Combining with the trends of GDP and load changes over the years,build a load forecasting model based on Long Short-Term Memory network,forecast the peak load in each quarter of 2020 and provide reference for some provincial power grid operation.
作者
董靓媛
于腾凯
胡文平
李铁成
李晓明
张蕊
DONG Liangyuan;YU Tengkai;HU Wenping;LI Tiecheng;LI Xiaoming;ZHANG Rui(State Grid Hebei Electric Power Research Institude,Shijiazhuang 050021,China)
出处
《河北电力技术》
2020年第2期7-9,共3页
Hebei Electric Power
关键词
新冠肺炎疫情
电网运行
长短期记忆网络
负荷预测
COVID-19 epidemic
grid operation
long short-term memory network
load forecasting
