摘要
国际海事组织发布“限硫令”,要求2020年全球使用硫含量小于0.5%的低硫船用燃料油。面对低硫船用燃料油市场供应缺口,我国炼油企业迎来重要市场机遇。本文应用流程优化模型,选择适用不同生产路线的典型企业,测算低硫船用燃料油生产方案,并定量分析经济效益。结果表明,在70美元/桶价格体系下,不同路线测算方案的低硫船用燃料油生产保本价在3260~3410元/吨,均低于市场预测价格,具有较好的经济效益。各个炼油企业应选择适宜的低硫船用燃料油生产路线并进行优化,制定“一企一策”的生产方案。
The International Maritime Organization announced that the maximum sulfur content permitted in marine bunker fuel will be reduced from 3.5%to 0.5%on a global basis by January 2020.Foreseen the shortage of low sulfur heavy fuel Oil(LSFO)in 2020,it will be a great opportunity for China’s refineries.In this paper,the production of LSFO in typical refineries,which were qualified for different production routes,was studied by using process optimization model.The result showed that,under the crude oil price of $70/bbl for Brent,the break-even price of LSFO in typical refineries ranged from 3,260 CNY/t to 3,410 CNY/t,which was lower than the forecast price.The production was economic feasible.Each qualified refinery should choose its appropriate LSFO production route,and optimize the production plan.
作者
王天潇
Wang Tianxiao(Sinopec Economics&Development Research Institute,Beijing 100029,China)
出处
《当代石油石化》
CAS
2019年第12期27-34,共8页
Petroleum & Petrochemical Today
