摘要
资本存量是建立宏观生产函数、进行中长期宏观经济预测等宏观经济研究的一个基础变量。但由于统计体系方面的原因 ,过去没有开展这方面的统计。理论上资本存量为K1=K0 +∑ni =1△Ki-1,需要分别推断两个部分。估算期初 (195 2年 )的资本存量则为较为麻烦 ,用产出 -资本比来估算是个较好的思路。用武断方法、迭代方法和增量方法互相印证 ,估计出 195 2年河南省的产出 -资本比为 0 2 2 。
The capital stock is a fundamental variable for regressing macro production function and forecasting economy in metaphase and long-term. For the reason of statistic system, the statistics had not been taken in this aspect before several years ago. Theoretically, the capital stock can be expressed as K 1=K 0+∑n=1△K -1 ,which need deduce two parts respectively.Estimating the capital stock at starting year is something more troublesome, capital-product ratio is a alternate approach. We can estimate that the capital-product ratio in 1952 is 0.22 and then estimate the each year's capital stock of Henan province from 1952.
出处
《经济经纬》
北大核心
2002年第6期42-44,共3页
Economic Survey
