摘要
2018年4月发生在亚美尼亚的政治危机导致萨尔基相政权垮台,这是其修改宪法、通过选举操弄权力游戏的直接后果。经过近一年激烈政治博弈,以2019年1月14日帕希尼扬再次被任命为政府总理为标志,亚美尼亚政治危机暂时告一段落。亚美尼亚变局彰显出后苏联空间转型国家在探索国家发展模式的道路上充满艰辛与不确定性。萨尔基相治下的亚美尼亚经济社会发展困难重重,腐败、失业、贫困与不平等问题不断激化社会矛盾,进而引发本次危机。大国在南高加索地区的激烈争夺与博弈又明显遏制了亚美尼亚外交空间拓展。因而无论从内政还是外交看,新一届政府都面临着新的极大挑战。“一带一路”建设背景下,中国与亚美尼亚合作前景看好,双边合作的互补性优势有望得到释放,但是制约中国与亚美尼亚合作的因素依然存在,有待破解。
The political crisis that took place in Armenia in April 2018 led to the collapse of the Sargsyan regime.It was the direct consequence of the revision of the constitution and his power game through elections.After a fierce political game in the past year,the political crisis in Armenia finally came to an end,marked with Pashinyan’s reappointment of as the Prime Ministeron January 14,2019.The political change in Amernia shows that the post-Soviet transitional countries have encountered a lot of hardships and uncertainties in exploring the national development patterns.Armenia’s economic and social development under Sargsyan’s rule is fraught with difficulties,and corruption,unemployment,poverty and inequality have intensified social conflicts and triggered this crisis.Also,the fierce competition and game between the big powers in the South Caucasus has obviously curbed Armenia’s efforts to expand its diplomatic space.Therefore,no matter on domestic affairs or diplomacy,the new government is facing new and great challenges.Under the “Belt and Road” Initiative,the prospects for cooperation between China and Armenia are promising,and the complementary advantages of bilateral cooperation are expected to be released.However,the factors restricting China-Armenia cooperation still exist and need to be solved.
出处
《俄罗斯东欧中亚研究》
CSSCI
2019年第5期142-154,158,共14页
Russian，East European & Central Asian Studies
基金
中国社会科学院创新工程项目“丝绸之路经济带背景下中亚国家发展形势及其国际秩序研究”的阶段性成果，项目编号4-3-6
