摘要
依据我国1986—2016年的统计数据,采用熵值法对所构建的城市化、农业现代化与产业结构的综合评价体系进行测算,利用VAR模型,研究了三者之间的动态关系.本文得出了以下结论:城市化、农业现代化与产业结构调整三者之间具有长期协整关系;短期而言,农业现代化和产业结构调整对城市化具有显著性影响.城市化、农业现代化与产业结构三者之间相互影响,作用方向不同,持续时间都较长.
Based on statistical data of 1986-2013 in China,this paper estimate constructed comprehensive evaluation system about urbanization,agricultural modernization and adjustment of industrial structure with entropy method,and also studies the interaction among them by using the Vector Auto Regression Model.This paper draws the following conclusions:there is a co-integration relationship among urbanization,agricultural modernization and adjustment of industrial structure;in the short term,urbanization is impact ed markedly by adjustment of industrial structure and agricultural modernization;there is a long-term interaction among urbanization,agricultural modernization and adjustment of industrial structure,but in a different direction.
作者
朱建华
罗俊
罗荣保
ZHU Jianhua;LUO Jun;LUO Rongbao(Rucheng County Party School of the Communist Party of China,Chenzhou 424100 China;XiangNan University,Chenzhou 423000 China)
出处
《湘南学院学报》
2019年第2期57-63,共7页
Journal of Xiangnan University
关键词
城市化
农业现代化
产业结构调整
VAR模型
urbanization
agricultural modernization
adjustment of industrial structure
Vector Auto Regression model
