摘要
中国速度向中国质量转变,高质量发展需要解决束缚我国全要素生产率提高的核心问题。基于1996—2015的年度数据,选取经济制度改革、技术进步、对外开放、基础设施四个一级指标和细化的24个二级指标,通过建立因子增强型向量自回归模型(FAVAR),对作用我国全要素生产率的因素进行了分析,探究影响的核心要素、方向和贡献度。研究发现:(1)短期来看,经济制度改革、技术引进和对外开放因素能有效带动我国全要素生产率的增长;(2)长期来看,自主创新、基础设施建设因素对全要素生产率的推动效力具有较强持续性;(3)从对作用于我国全要素生产率的贡献度排序角度来看,依次是经济制度改革、技术引进、对外开放、自主创新和基础设施。由此,建议政府转变经济发展方式,更加注重自主科技创新,强化基础设施建设的实用性,释放关键性制度改革红利,增强对外开放和技术引进。
China’s speed is changing to the quality of China.High quality development needs to solve the core factors that restrict the high-quality growth of China’s total factor productivity.Based on the annual data of 1996-2015 years,we have selected economic system reform,technological progress,opening to the outside world,four first level indexes of infrastructure and 24 two level economic indexes.By establishing factor enhanced vector autoregressive(FAVAR)model,the factors that affect the yield of all factors in China are analyzed to explore the influence.The core elements,the direction of the impact and the contribution of the role.The study found that:(1)In the short run,the common factors of economic system reformation,technology import and open strategy have a more powerful positive impact on the total factor productivity;(2)In the long run,the common factors of independent innovation and infrastructure construction have a persistence positive effect;(3)On the contribution of total factor productivity in our country for nearly 20 years,the biggest factor is economic system reformation,and the following factors are technology import and open strategy,independent innovation and infrastructure construction’s contributions are more lower.So,the way to improve the total factor productivity and transform the pattern of economic development is to pay more attention to the developments of independent innovation and infrastructure construction,to release the reformation bonus as soon as possible,to enable the technology import and open strategy play the auxiliary role.
作者
姜竹
马天
王轶
JIANG Zhu;MA Tian;WANG Yi(School of Economics,Beijing Technology and Business University,Beijing 100048,China)
出处
《贵州财经大学学报》
CSSCI
北大核心
2019年第1期37-46,共10页
Journal of Guizhou University of Finance and Economics
基金
北京市教育委员会科研基地-科技创新平台-首都流通业研究基地(PXM2018-014213-000033-028)
北京工商大学国有资产管理协同创新中心项目(GZ20130801)
研究生科研能力提升计划项目
关键词
高质量发展
全要素生产率
作用要素
FAVAR
自主创新
high quality development
total factor productivity
factors of action
factor-augmented vector autoregressive
independent innovation
