摘要
中国的旅游收入虽然呈现增长态势,但占GDP比重却呈现U型发展。基于中国旅游统计年鉴(2001-2015)的城市面板数据,从旅游土地利用效率的视角解读影响城市单位土地旅游增效的U型趋势。通过对统计年鉴数据的失真性处理,采用分阶段回归方式,研究结果表明:(1)城市土地旅游增效仍然依靠高投入,旅游从业人员、旅游业固定资产投入是推动旅游增效的重要源泉。(2)固定资产投资总额和财政支出对旅游土地增效的影响为负。城市旅游产业仍以投资拉动为主,存在以"门票收入"为特征的"旅游禀赋诅咒"的挤出效应。(3)旅游固定资产投入、从业人员数量、外商投资、固定资产投资等因素的U型变动解释了旅游业发展的态势,投资的导向性对旅游业的影响具有引致效应。
Although the tourism revenue in china shows a growth tendency,the tourism revenue as a share of GDP presents a u-shaped development trend.According to urban panel data in the Yearbook of China Tourism Statistics（2001-2015）,this paper explains the u-shaped trend affecting urban tourism with the rate of tourism land utilization.Using the china tourism statistics without distortion and linear regression analysis,the research shows that：（1） Urban tourism land utilization still depends on high input,and tourism staff and the investment of tourism industry are important sources of increasing tourism efficiency.（2） The total investment in fixed assets and fiscal expenditure have negative impact on the tourism land utilization,and there exists crowding out effect of ＂tourism endowments curse＂characterized by ＂ticket income＂.（3） The u-shaped change of the tourism investment in fixed assets,the number of employees,foreign investment and the investment of fixed assets show the trend of tourism development,and the orientation of investment has the crowd-in effect on tourism.
作者
柴毅
郭旸
CHAI Yi;GUO Yang
出处
《华侨大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》
CSSCI
北大核心
2018年第2期91-101,共11页
Journal of Huaqiao University(Philosophy & Social Sciences)
基金
国家社会科学基金重大项目"我国自然资源资本化及对应市场建设研究"(15ZDB162)
云南省社科联创新项目"中国特色社会主义政治经济学的中国经济思想来源研究"
关键词
城市旅游
土地利用率
挤出效应
因素分析
urban tourism
land utilization
crowding out effect
factor analysis
