摘要
本文以1991-2015年湖北省货运量、货运周转量、客运量、客运周转量、交通固定资产投资等时间序列数据为区域物流指标,湖北省国内生产总值(GDP)时间序列数据为区域经济发展指标,采用相关性分析、协整分析、计量经济学模型等方法研究湖北省区域物流与区域经济的互动关系,研究结果表明湖北省区域物流对区域经济存在显著的正向影响。交通固定资产投资与货运量对湖北省区域经济影响较大,且交通固定资产对区域经济的发展的影响更为显著,最后,本文为湖北省区域物流与区域经济的发展提出相应对策。
Taking the time series data of freight volume, turnover volume, passenger capacity, passenger turnover capacity and transportation fixed asset investment in Hubei from 1991 to 2015 as regional logistics capability indicator and GDP as the regional economic development indicator, the paper mainly carry out the study on the interactive relationship between the regional logistics and regional economy of Hubei with the method of partial correlation and co-integration analysis. The results show that：Hubei regional logistics had a remarkable correlation with regional economic. On the basis of the analysis, a multiple linear regression model is built, and then an empirical analysis is conducted on the promotion of the regional logistics to the regional economy of Hubei. Lastly, some appropriate proposals are put forward on the development of modern logistics industry in Hubei.
作者
闫成良
袁亮
YAN Cheng-liang;YUAN Liang(College of Economics and Management, The Three Gorges University, Yichang 443002, China;Business School of Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, China)
出处
《价值工程》
2018年第15期7-10,共4页
Value Engineering
基金
三峡大学研究生科研创新基金(项目编号SDYC2016078)
关键词
区域物流
区域经济
相关性分析
协整分析
湖北省
regional logistics
regional economy
partial correlation
co-integration analysis
Hubei Province
