摘要
引导传统产业绿色升级、培育新型绿色环保产业是我国当前产业结构调整的关键。然而,绿色信贷怎样作用于产业结构升级、其影响效应如何仍然缺乏系统性的分析。文章结合我国绿色信贷调整产业结构的现状,通过资本形成、信号传递、反馈与信用催生三种机制的梳理,分析了绿色信贷对产业结构升级的影响机理。文章选取2004-2015年间我国31个省份的相关面板数据,首先通过灰色关联分析法验证了绿色信贷的发展与产业结构升级之间确实存在关联关系,其次通过面板数据的回归模型,对我国东、中、西三部分地区绿色信贷对产业结构调整的效应进行对比分析。结果表明:(1)绿色信贷主要通过企业的资本与资金渠道影响产业结构。(2)我国整体绿色信贷调整产业结构的升级效果显著。(3)东、中、西三大地区绿色信贷对产业结构调整的影响存在差异。文章认为,在促进产业发展的绿色转型实施过程中,要以市场为导向调整信贷结构,合理配置绿色信贷资金,促进产业结构优化升级。
Along with the contradiction between economic growth and resource depletion,the concept of economic development has changed to ＂innovation,coordination,greenness,openness and sharing＂.The concept of green development focuses on the ecological environment,low-carbon development and the construction of green economic system.Under the background of green development,to guide the green upgrading of traditional industries and cultivate new green industries is the key to the restructuring of current industrial structure in China.However,how green credit acts on the upgrading of the industrial structure and its impact are still lacking systematic analysis.This paper reviews domestic and foreign literature to understand the main directions and progress of the research related to the optimization of green credit and industrial structure.And based on the current situation of green credit adjustment in China,this paper analyzes the impact of green credit on industrial structure upgrading by combing three mechanisms：capital formation,signal transmission,and feedback credit generation.The relevant data is selected from 2004 to 2015 in China and 31 provinces and cities.Firstly,the relationship between the development of green credit and the upgrading of industrial structure is analyzed empirically through the gray relational analysis method,that is,China＇s green credit can indeed optimize the industrial structure.Followed by the regression model of panel data,it makes the regression analysis and comparative analysis of the effect of regional green credit on the adjustment of industrial structure in Eastern China,Central China and Western China.The conclusions are as follows：firstly,green credit affects the industrial structure mainly through the capital and capital channels of enterprises;secondly,the current situation in China shows that there is a relationship between green credit and the optimization of industrial structure;thirdly,the overall green credit adjustment of industrial structure in China has a significant effect on the upgrading of industrial structure;fourthly,the impact of green credit in the three major regions on the adjustment of industrial structure is different,and the positive effects of green credit on industrial structure adjustment in the eastern and western regions are more obvious than that in the central region.In our opinion,in the process of green transformation to promote industrial development,we should give full play to the role of governments,financial enterprises and real enterprises,adjust the credit structure based on the market orientation,rationally allocate green credit funds,promote the optimization and upgrading of industrial structure,and pay attention to the regional balance;at the same time,it is necessary to improve the connection between policy issuance and policy implementation and promote the effective role of green credit in the transformation and upgrading of the industrial structure.
作者
徐胜
赵欣欣
姚双
Xu Sheng1,2, Zhao Xinxin1, Yao Shuang1(1. School of Economics, Ocean University of China, Shandong Qingdao 266100, China; 2. Institute of Marine Development, Ocean University of China, Shandong Qingdao 266100, China)
出处
《上海财经大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》
CSSCI
北大核心
2018年第2期59-72,共14页
Journal of Shanghai University of Finance and Economics
基金
国家社会科学基金项目"中国海洋经济转型中的创新驱动效应研究"(15BJL037)
关键词
绿色信贷
产业结构升级
灰色关联分析
面板模型
green credit
industrial structure upgrading
gray correlation analysis
panel model
