摘要
随着高速铁路网络的不断完善,高铁运行线路与长途汽车客运班线线路产生了较大的重合.为了定量分析高速铁路的开通对长途汽车客运市场的影响程度,基于时间、票价构建两地之间的运输阻力,建立了改进重力模型,对比计算高铁与长途汽车客运的客流量,并以昆明市为例进行实例分析.结果表明,高铁对旅客的吸引力明显优于长途客运,高铁的开通会对长途汽车客运产生较大的影响.最后根据长途汽车客运的自身优势,提出长途汽车客运市场发展的转型策略.
With the constant improvement of the high-speed railway network,the running lines of railways have great coincidence with long-distance automobile transportation. In order to analyze the influence of the high-speed railway on the long-distance automobile transportation,an improved gravity model is established to calculate the passenger flow,in which transportation impedance is based on time and fare,and Kunming is taken as an example. The results indicate that the high-speed rail is more attractive to passengers than long-distance passenger,and that the open of the high-speed railway will have a great impact on long-distance automobile transportation. Finally,based on the advantages of long-distance automobile transportation,the transformation strategies are proposed.
出处
《昆明理工大学学报（自然科学版）》
CAS
2017年第2期99-106,共8页
Journal of Kunming University of Science and Technology(Natural Science)
基金
云南省应用基础研究计划青年项目(2014FD010)
云南省教育厅面上项目(2014Y076)
云南省人才培养项目(KKSY201302033)
关键词
高速铁路
长途汽车客运
客流量预测
对策
high-speed railway
long-distance automobile transportation
passenger flow forecast
countermeasure
