摘要
使用DEA-Malmquist分析法,测算广东省物流业2000-2015年全要素生产率,并将其分解为技术进步指数和技术效率指数,分析其变动趋势,发现近年来广东省物流全要素生产率的提高主要仰赖于技术进步的作用。然后利用动态滞后VAR模型检验广东省物流业FDI与全要素生产率的实证关系,结果表明:广东省物流业FDI与技术进步指数之间不存在因果关系,表明广东省物流业外商直接投资对全要素生产率的溢出效应有限。
In this paper, we used the DEA-Malmquist process to measure the total factor productivity of the logistics industry in Guangdong between 2000 and 2015, then decomposed it into the technological progress index and technical efficiency index and through analyzing its change pattern, found that the increase in the logistics TFP of Guangdong was mainly the result of technological progress. Next, we used the dynamic lag VAR model to test the relationship between the FDI and TFP of the logistics industry in Guangdong empirically, finding that the FDI and technological progress index of the logistics industry in Guangdong were not causally related.
出处
《物流技术》
2017年第2期71-74,共4页
Logistics Technology
