摘要
本文利用自回归模型等对煤工尘肺患病趋势的预测方法进行了探讨。列出了各种方法的结果,并将预测结果与实际情况进行了比较。从检验的结果看,虽然各种方法都存在一定误差,但仍然不失为尘肺的防制提供重要科学依据之手段。
Three coal colleries, which were satisfied for their data, were selected to study the methods of forecasting the tendency for pneumoconiesis by autoregression models, etc. Results by different methods were reported in the paper, and comparison with the actial conditions were also made.Although there are certain errors, thee methods may still act as important means in the prevention and treatment of pneumoconiosis.
出处
《中国卫生统计》
CSCD
北大核心
1991年第4期23-25,共3页
Chinese Journal of Health Statistics
关键词
尘肺
预测
自回归模型
煤矿工人
Pneumoconiosis forecast Coal workers' pneumoconiosis Autoregressive model