摘要
铁路运输突发事件可能对铁路正常运输产生较大影响。分析影响铁路运输的突发事件,根据影响程度对突发事件进行分级。介绍关联分析方法中因果联系分析法的定义和具体分析过程,基于因果联系分析对铁路运输突发事件及行车策略调整之间的关联关系进行分析,建立铁路运输突发事件处理流程图。以台风"海燕"为例推演分析,构建强风事件和强降雨事件的应急处理流程,说明因果联系分析法的优势。因果联系分析法可有效预测突发事件的影响后果,有助于工作人员提前采取相应应对措施。
Emergencies in rail transportation may have a relatively greater impact on regular rail transportation.The article analyses emergencies in rail transportation,making classifications according to the impact on the emer-gencies.The article introduces the definition and specific analysis process of causal analysis,based on which itanalyses the incidence relation between railway transportation emergencies and driving strategy adjustment,thus es-tablishing a process chart for those emergencies.It makes a deduction and analysis by taking Typhoon ＂Haiyan＂ forexample,establishing an emergency process for gale and strong rainfall events to state the superiority in causal analy-sis.Causal analysis can effectively predicates the influence and consequence of emergencies,helping to take corre-sponding measures in advance.
作者
牛志敏
金福才
Niu Zhimin Jin Fucai
出处
《铁道技术监督》
2017年第1期44-47,共4页
Railway Quality Control
关键词
铁路运输
突发事件
关联分析
因果联系分析
应急处理
Railway Transportation
Emergencies
Correlation Analysis
Causal Analysis
Emergency Response
