摘要
空调运行负荷预测是空调系统优化控制的关键技术。为了充分了解该领域内已有的研究成果,开展更深入的探索和应用研究,本文对空调负荷预测国内外研究现状进行分析总结。简述运行阶段空调负荷预测的概念和意义,将其与设计阶段负荷预测进行比较,阐明空调运行负荷预测的特点。对比分析预测理论的黑箱方法和白箱方法,指出空调运行负荷预测的适用方法和关键问题。综述目前空调运行负荷预测模型的建模方法和影响因素,比较各种建模方法的优缺点,探讨了影响因素的选取和作用。指出现有研究的不足之处,提出有效利用建模的新技术、重视负荷的内在因素分析、加强模型的自适应研究是未来空调运行负荷预测的发展方向。
Air-conditioning load prediction is a key technology for air-conditioning system optimization control at building operating stage. In order to make full use of the existing research results and carry out a further research of exploration and application,this paper analyzed and summarized the overseas and domestic research status of airconditioning load prediction. The concept and significance of air-conditioning load prediction in building operating stage were introduced, and compared with air-conditioning load prediction at building design stage. The characteristics of air-conditioning operating load were expounded. Besides,suitable methods and key problems of cooling load prediction were pointed out by comparing and analyzing black-box method and white-box method. The advantages and disadvantages of the current modeling methods for air-conditioning load prediction were analyzed comprehensively,and the selection and function of influential factors were discussed. It was proposed based on the deficiency of the existing researches that using new modeling methods effectively,attaching great importance to internal factors analysis,and strengthening the research of model adaptation was the future direction of airconditioning operating load prediction.
出处
《建筑科学》
CSCD
北大核心
2016年第6期142-150,共9页
Building Science
基金
北京市教委科技计划面上项目(KM201410005022)
国家自然科学基金资助项目"建筑环境与节能"(51522801)
关键词
空调系统
负荷预测
运行阶段
空调运行负荷
预测方法
air-conditioning system
load prediction
operating stage
air-conditioning operating load
prediction methods
