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The Credit Cycle and the Business Cycle in the Economy of Turkey

The Credit Cycle and the Business Cycle in the Economy of Turkey
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摘要 This study examines econometric relationships between bank lending and the business cycle in Turkey. Firstly, the cyclical components of the real GDP and real bank loans were determined using time series. A cointegration analysis and a vector error-correction model with quarterly data were used for period of 1987:01-2013:03. The results of cointegration analysis indicate that there is a single stable long-run equilibrium relationship between real bank loans and macroeconomic variables. The response of bank loans to GDP shocks is positive. Bank loans have pro-cyclical character in Turkey.
出处 《Chinese Business Review》 2016年第3期123-131,共9页 中国经济评论(英文版)
关键词 business cycle credit cycle Turkish economy 经济周期 土耳其 银行贷款 信贷 国内生产总值 误差修正模型 组成部分 时间序列
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