摘要
基于全国21省3 753户农户调查数据,以及一般、小康、富裕三类农户的比较分析视角,利用多元有序logistic回归模型,对农户定居城镇的迁移意愿及其影响因素进行比较研究。结果表明:财产性因素对农户的城镇迁移意愿影响显著,农村住房面积负向影响农户迁移意愿,农户在城镇的财产显著正向影响其迁移意愿,承包土地面积负向显著影响农户的迁移意愿;年龄越小、男性、受教育程度越高、兼业、当过村干部的农户、家庭收入等级越高,家庭务工人数越多,越倾向于进入城镇定居;不同收入阶层农户关于迁移意愿的影响因素差异较大。
Using the survey data of 3 753 peasant households in 21 provinces and multivariate logistic regression model, from the perspective of the comparative analysis of general households, well-off households and rich households, the paper studies the farmers＇ willingness settling in small towns and its influencing factors. The results show that farmers property has significant positive affect on the farmers＇ willingness settling in the town, the rural housing area has negative influence on farmers migration willingness, the property in towns of farmers has significantly positive affect on the migration willingness, while the contracted land area has negative impact on the farmers migration willingness; the farmers who are younger, male, with higher education level, more migrant workers and more income in their families, having multiple occupations, having being a village cadres are more inclined to settle into the towns; the influencing factors of farmers of different income group differ greatly.
出处
《湖南农业大学学报（社会科学版）》
CSSCI
2015年第6期58-64,共7页
Journal of Hunan Agricultural University(Social Sciences)
关键词
农户
城镇
迁移意愿
LOGISTIC回归
farmers households
town
migration willingness
Logistic regression
