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民生投入、门槛效应和经济增长——基于2001~2012年省际面板数据的实证分析 被引量:5

Livelihood Investments, Threshold Effects and Economic Growth——An Empirical Analysis Based on 2001-2012 Provincial Panel Data
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摘要 演利用中国2001-2012 年省际面板数据, 从教育、医疗卫生和社会保障支出三个方面, 分析了民生投入对经济增长贡献的门槛效应.研究结果表明, 民生投入对经济增长贡献的门槛效应主要受经济发展水平影响.教育支出对经济增长贡献相对较大, 社会保障支出对经济增长贡献其次, 医疗卫生支出对经济增长贡献较小.社会保障支出对经济增长贡献的门槛效应, 比教育支出和医疗支出来得“早一点”.实证结果表明中国尚不存在民生投入边际作用递减特征, 故而需要进一步加大对民生投入; 应着重加大对中西部省份的民生投入, 促使其超过“门槛值”; 民生投入对经济增长贡献门槛效应发挥也受其他因素影响, 只有民生投入和经济发展水平相协调才能发挥出更大的作用. Using Chinese 2001-2012 provincial panel data, the article analyzed of the 'threshold effect' of livelihood investments contribution to economic growth, by taking education, health care and social security into consideration. The results show that: the 'threshold effect' of liveli-hood investments contribution is mainly affected by the level of economic development. Education expenditure has a comparatively large contribu-tion to economic growth; social security expenditure ranks in the second; health care expenditure contributes the least. The 'threshold effects' in social security contribution to economic growth appears earlier than education and health care expenditure. The empirical results show that dimin-ishing marginal characteristics have not appeared in the livelihood investments in china yet. Therefore, livelihood investment should be further strengthened; more investment in livelihood should be given to the central and western provinces, thus enables the exceeding of the 'threshold value' The 'threshold effect' of livelihood investment contribution to economic growth is also affected by other factors. Only when livelihood in-vestment coordinates with the level of economic development, it could play a greater role.
作者 方大春
出处 《当代经济管理》 CSSCI 2015年第10期1-6,共6页 Contemporary Economic Management
基金 国家社会科学基金项目(11CJL001) 中国博士后科学基金特别资助(2014T70378) 中国博士后科学基金(2013M531092) 安徽省高校人文社会科学重大研究项目(SK2013ZD02)
关键词 民生投入 经济增长 门槛效应 livelihood inputs economic growth threshold effects
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