摘要
基于生态足迹方法计算了河南省1978～2012年能源足迹,选取修正后的人均GDP和能源足迹作为分析指标,利用脱钩分析法对改革开放以来河南省工业化和城市化过程中能源足迹与经济发展的关系进行实证分析.结果表明：河南省1978～2012年能源足迹与经济发展的关系经历了扩张负脱钩、扩张链接、弱脱钩、弱强脱钩状态这4种状态,总体呈现＂扩张链接-弱脱钩-弱强脱钩＂的可持续变化趋势;根据脱钩弹性曲线变化趋势将研究期划分为4个阶段,即发展初期（1978～1991年）、工业化初期阶段（1992～1996年）、发展缓滞期（1997～2002年）、工业化中期阶段（2003～2012年）,各个阶段脱钩状态的变化都有各自的原因;研究结果及产生脱钩的原因与河南省的实际情况相吻合,对河南省进一步转变经济发展方式有一定的参考价值.
Based on the ecological footprint method,the energy footprint during 1978～2012in Henan Province was calculated in this article,the revised per capita GDP and energy footprint were selected as analysis indicators,the decoupling method was used to analyze the relationship between economic development and energy footprint in the process of industrialization and urbanization since the reform and openingup policy in Henan Province.The research results showed that during 1978 and 2012in Henan Province,the relationship between economic development and energy footprint had experienced negative decoupling,weak decoupling,recession decoupling and strong decoupling.And the relationship general showed a sound momentum of steady development,and the trends were sustainable change trends.Based on decoupling the elastic curve trend,the study period was divided into four stages,the development initial period（1978～1991）,the industrialization initial stage（1992～1996）,the slowing development period（1997～2002）,the middle of industrialization（2003～2012）.The staged change of decoupling state had its own reason.Thereasons for decoupling were consistent to the actual situation of Henan Province,and which in the further transformation of economic development of Henan Province had a strong reference value.
出处
《甘肃农业大学学报》
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2015年第2期127-133,共7页
Journal of Gansu Agricultural University
基金
国家自然基金项目(71263003)
关键词
可持续发展
能源足迹
经济发展
脱钩分析
河南省
sustainable development
energy footprint
economic development
decoupling analysis Henan Province
