摘要
目前国内外评价地热资源的方法 ,均将热储参数作为定值而未考虑其随机特性。蒙特卡罗法是以热储参数的随机特征为基础建立的 ,并且通过计算可以给出结果的可信度。本文在论述蒙特卡罗法基本原理的基础上 ,结合开封市地热系统 ,分别利用蒙特卡罗法和单元热储体积法对地热资源进行了计算 ,经对比分析得出的地热资源量为 133 0 95 5×10 1 3 Kcal,相当于 1 5 476× 10 1 2 度电或 7 7381× 10 8t煤所产生的热量 ,为开封市地热资源的合理开发提供了科学依据。
All the methods at present applied in assessing geothermal resources took the reservoir parameters as determined value and ignored their stochastic characteristics. The method of Monte Carlo was wet up on the base of considering the stochastic characteristic of the reservoir parameter, and it could give the confidence scope. This paper, firstl demonstrated the theory of Monte Carlo method and combined with geothermal system of Kaifeng, Henan Province, evaluated the geothermal resources by using both Monte Carlo Method and Finite Element Reservoir Volume Method, and the geothermal resources is 133\^0955×10 13 Kcal.
出处
《水文地质工程地质》
CAS
CSCD
2002年第4期10-13,共4页
Hydrogeology & Engineering Geology
基金
河南省自然科学基金 ( 0 0 40 70 40 0 )
关键词
地热资源
评价
蒙特卡罗法
单元热储体积法
开封市
热储参数
assessment of geothermal resources
Monte Carlo Method
Finite Element Reservoir Volume Method
