摘要
用植物物候现象作为气候预报因子,与长期预报对象建立相关模式,反映气候因子的综合性,具有较好的物理意义。本文主要用茶树、橡胶树的第一个物候现象为预报因子,采取统计分级相关的方法,预报秋季干旱趋势。
Using plant phenology as a climatic prediction factor, a correlative modle for long term prediction is built, which reflects the synthetic characters of climatic factors and has better physical meaning. The article introduces a method predicting the trend of drought in Autumn by the statistical grade way in terms of the first phenological phenomenon of tee tree and rubber tree.
出处
《灾害学》
CSCD
1991年第1期89-94,共6页
Journal of Catastrophology
关键词
物侯现象
气候因子
干旱
指标
预报
Phenological phenomenon, Climatic factor, Drought index, Correlation analysis
