摘要
目的 通过对呼吸与循环系统疾病的发病与气象要素关系的分析 ,建立每旬的发病预报方程 ,作出发病等级和防病措施预报 ,以减轻此类疾病的危害。方法 利用数理统计的方法 ,对疾病与气象资料进行相关分析 ,建立回归模型。结果 气象要素及其变化与呼吸、循环系统疾病的发病有密切关系。结论 对当前气象要素及其变化的观测 ,可有效预测未来十天内呼吸与循环系统疾病的发病情况。
Objective By analyzing the relationship between the meteorological factors and the sicknesses occurred in respiratory and circulatory systems, a per ten day forecasting formula should be estabished in order to forecast the grade of sicknesses as well as their prophylaxis, so that the harm of the sicknesses can be reduced. Methods To analyze the relationship between the meteorological resources as well as establish a regression model by the means of mathematical statistics. Results A close relationship exsits between the meteoroligical factors as well as their changes and the sicknesses in respiratory and circulatory systems. Conclusion An effective forecast can be made on the conditions of the occurrence of the sicknesses in respiratory and circulatory systems with the following ten days by the observation toward the current meteorological factors as well as their changes.
出处
《中国医院统计》
2002年第2期81-83,共3页
Chinese Journal of Hospital Statistics
关键词
呼吸系统疾病
循环系统疾病
气象因子
发病趋势
Meteorological phenomenon Respiratory system disease Circultory system disease Prediction
