摘要
国民经济对用电量有决定性影响 ,在此基础上 ,结合宏观经济计量模型 ,建立了联立方程计量经济模型预测电力需求 ,结合考虑宏观经济各经济指标对用电终端部门电力需求的影响。详细介绍了模型的原理 ,并以一个实际算例 ,预测 2 0 0 0 - 2 0 0 6年各终端用电部门的用电量 ,为电力需求预测提供新方法 ,新思路。
Energy demand was decided mainly by the economy. On this basis, a simultaneous equations econometric model was made to forecast the electricity demand, Considering macro-economy factors as a whole. Principles of the model was introduced particularly. The energy demand of each specified electricity consumer section from year 2000 to year 2006 was forecasted based on a true case in order to supply a new method of electricity demand forecast.
出处
《东北电力学院学报》
2002年第1期30-34,共5页
Journal of Northeast China Institute of Electric Power Engineering
