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基于LMDI法实证分析西北五省高校毕业生人数与经济增长的关系

An Analysis of the Relationships between the Number of College Graduates in Northwest and Economic Growth
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摘要 本文将LMDI分解法引入高校毕业生人数与GDP增长之间动态驱动关系的研究,通过构建GDP总量分解模型,深入分析二者之间内在的因果驱动关系。分析结果表明,西北五省高校毕业生人数活动效应对GDP变动总效应的贡献最大,是主要驱动力;结构效应则对GDP变动产生较小的负影响;效率效应在研究样本期间与GDP增长整体正相关,对GDP增长起重要促进作用。 This paper analyzes the relationship between the number of college graduates and economic growth by using model of LMDI decomposition .The paper reveals the dynamic relationship between grad-uates and economic grow th .We found that activity effects is the main driving force on GDP grow th ,w hile comparatively structural effects is less negative effects .T herefore ,this paper presents the evidence that ef-ficiency effects played an important role in promoting the grow th of GDP .
作者 郑丽琴
出处 《陕西学前师范学院学报》 2014年第3期77-80,共4页 Journal of Shaanxi Xueqian Normal University
基金 陕西学前师范学院科研基金项目(2014QNKJ068)
关键词 西北五省 LMDI方法 高校毕业生人数GDP增长 Northwest five province LMDI method number of college graduates GDP growth
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