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砂井地基固结概率特性的近似分析方法 被引量:10

Approximate analysis method of probabilistic characteristics of consolidation of sand-drained ground
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摘要 利用蒙特卡罗模拟方法计算砂井地基固结度概率特征值。通过正交试验研究不确定性参数变异性对砂井地基固结概率特性的影响。研究了砂井地基固结概率分析的近似方法 ,并探讨了近似方法的精度。推导了砂井地基固结度期望值和方差的计算公式。研究表明 ,砂井地基固结度的概率特性对水平固结系数的不确定性最为敏感。提出了只考虑水平固结系数不确定性的砂井地基固结概率特性的近似分析方法。误差研究进一步证明了近似方法的实用性。砂井地基固结概率设计方法用设计系数将概率设计与常规设计联系起来。 The probability characteristic values for degree of consolidation for sand-drained ground are calculated by the method of Monte C arlo simulation.The effect of coefficient of variation of uncertain parameters o n the probability characteristic of consolidation for sand-drained ground is st udied by the method of orthogonal experiment.The approximate method of pr obabil ity analysis of consolidation for sand-drained ground and its accuracy is resea rched.The formulas of expectation and variance of degree of consolidation for sa nd-drained ground are obtained.It is generalized from investigation that the d egree of consolidation of sand-drained ground is very sensitive to the uncertai nty in coefficient of horizontal consolidation.The approximate method of probab ility analysis of consolidation for sand-drained ground is brought forward,whi ch can only take into account the effect of uncertainty in coefficient of horizo ntal consolidation,whose error research further proves its practicability.The m ethod of probabilistic design for consolidation of sand-drained ground is provi ded,which connects probabilistic design to routine design with design coefficie nt.
出处 《岩土工程学报》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2001年第6期700-703,共4页 Chinese Journal of Geotechnical Engineering
关键词 砂井 固结 概率特性 正交试验 蒙特卡罗模拟 软土地基 地基加固 sand drain consolidation probabilistic characteri stics orthogonal experiment Monte Carlo simulation
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参考文献4

  • 1孙荣恒,数理统计,2000年
  • 2Xie K H,Proceedings of Int Conference on Geotechnical Engand Earthquake Resistant Technologyin Soft Soil Are,1993年,92页
  • 3高大钊,土力学可靠性原理,1989年
  • 4成都地质学院《概率论与数理统计》编写小组,概率论与数理统计,1981年

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