摘要
针对中期天气过程预报提出的推理统计模型,它结合专家系统思路和数理统计方法,采用逻辑关系形成产生式规则,客观地提供了专家系统所需的知识,从而克服了专家知识难于反查检验和定量计算等缺陷,形成了具有特色的预报模型,应用效果良好。
In this paper, the Inference Statistical Model(ISM) has been advanced) It replaced conception of relativity in pure statistical method and established the logical conception. It remedied the defects which exist in the classical statistical method. Specially, by it, We achieved remarkable success on the forecasting of small probability event and the medium-range weather prediction.
出处
《气象科学》
CSCD
北大核心
1991年第2期219-225,共7页
Journal of the Meteorological Sciences
基金
"长江中下游春季连晴连阴雨天气预报"研究课题资助
