摘要
异常的台风是台风预报中的一个主要难点,而非常复杂的怪路径虽然次数很少,但却无法预报,有些甚至在事后都难以解释。本文对9119号台风(Nat)的一次怪路径作了个例分析,指出卫星云图不仅能对9119怪路径作出很好的解释,而且在其二次热带风暴一台风强度阶段能作出较好的预报。
The anomalous typhoon track is very difficult to be forecasted. The very complex, queer typhoon, even though vary few, is not able to be predicted and even some are difficult to be explained after the event. In this paper, a case study on a queer track of Typhoon 9119 (Nat) is done. It is showed that, satellite cloud maps can not only explain the queer track of Nat very well, but also give a good forecasting during its two stages of tropical storm-typhoon intensity.
出处
《海洋预报》
北大核心
2001年第2期54-61,共8页
Marine Forecasts