摘要
用 1 95 1～ 1 999年资料详细研究了浙江省 4个观测站的年、季、月降水与气温的气候变化特征。提出了用蒙特卡洛 ( Monte Carlo)模拟方法对气象要素的长期变化进行统计检验。指出 ,气候变化也可以出现在气象要素的变率上 。
A detailed study is undertaken of climatic variation features of rainfall and temperature on a monthly,seasonal and annual basis at 4 stations in Zhejiang in terms of 1951~1999 data.Monte Carlo scheme is used to test the long term variation of the meteorological elements.Result shows that the climatic change can also occur in the elements.At last,a method is developed to identify the variability anomaly by means of the sliding mean square deviation.
出处
《南京气象学院学报》
CSCD
北大核心
2001年第2期207-213,共7页
Journal of Nanjing Institute of Meteorology
基金
浙江省重大项目 991 1 0 3 3 64
