摘要
EI Nio事件是以海表温度(SST)异常增温为特征的。因此,识别EI Nino事件的主要指标应是赤道东太平洋的SST。本文分析了1965～1986年赤道东太平洋的SST,取每年11月到次年1月SST的平均值,运用灰色预测理论,对下一次EI Nino现象的发生进行预测。
El Nino events are characterized by the anomalously high SST, so the essential index used for identifying them should be the SST in the equatorial eastern Pacific. This temperature for 1965 to 1986 is analysed in this paper. Taking the average temperature for the period from November of any year to January of the next year and using the theory of grey prediction, we forecast the next El Nino year.
出处
《黄渤海海洋》
CSCD
1989年第4期18-24,共7页
Journal of Oceanography of Huanghai & Bohai Seas
