摘要
在经典的信度保费模型中,得到的信度保费估计均是考虑的是纯保费,然而在保险实务中,保险公司收取的保费不可能是纯保费,必须具有正的安全负荷.在平衡指数损失函数下,研究了多合同的信度保费模型.利用正交投影方法,得到了未来保费的信度估计.最后对估计进行了数值模拟.
In the classical credibility premium model,the credibility premium is derived under the net premium principle.But in insurance practice,the premiums charged by insurance companies can not be the net premium,and must have a positive safe-loading.This paper studied the multi-contract credibility model under balanced exponential loss function.Using the method of orthogonal proj ection,the credibility estimator of the future premium was derived.Finally,the estimator was shown by simulations.
出处
《经济数学》
2014年第2期106-110,共5页
Journal of Quantitative Economics
基金
国家自然科学基金(编号:11361058)
关键词
平衡指数损失函数
信度估计
正交投影
balanced loss function
credibility estimator
orthogonal proj ection