摘要
旅游业的发展是否能促进一个地区的经济增长，在文献中一直存在争议。本文基于中国254个地级市2001～2012年的微观面板数据，使用动态面板数据模型从实证角度研究了旅游业的发展对我国区域经济增长的影响。研究结果表明，旅游业的发展能够显著促进我国区域经济增长：旅游业每增长一个百分点，能够带动地级市人均GDP增长约0．03个百分点，且国内旅游对区域经济增长的带动作用大于国际旅游。分地区的回归结果表明，旅游业对区域经济增长的推动作用主要体现在欠发达地区，而分产业的结果表明，旅游业能够显著促进第三产业的增长。进一步的研究表明，旅游业带动区域第三产业经济增长的机制包括促进批发零售业和餐饮住宿业的发展，增加就业和降低一个地区的失业率。本文的研究表明，旅游业的发展对于带动我国第三产业发展，缩小地区发展差距具有重要作用。
Whether tourism can promote regional economic development has long been controversial in the literature. While many empirical studies find that development of tourism and the level of economic development is highly correlated, economic theory, especially endogenous economic growth theory, tends to suggest that tourism is one of the outcomes of economic development rather than driving force. According to the endogenous economic growth theory, industry serves as driving forces of economic growth should associated with intensive R＆D activities, high level of total factor productivity and more importantly economics of scale, which is not the characteristics of tourism industry. As a result, economic theory does not provide any clear theoretical prediction between tourism and economic growth. In addition, empirical studies on the relationships between tourism development and economic growth failed to yield consistent results. While many studies provide supporting evidences that tourism has a positive effect on local economic growth, other do not find such relationship and some studies even find negative effects. Moreover, prior studies also suggest that the relationship between tourism and economic growth is heterogeneous among different countries, with the magnitudes and significance varying with levels of economic development, geographic locations and industrial sectors and etc. These findings imply that the research conclusions draw from developed countries may not be applicable to other ones especially the poor countries. Thus the relationship between tourism and economic growth is purely an empirical issue.
出处
《经济管理》
CSSCI
北大核心
2014年第6期116-126,共11页
Business and Management Journal ( BMJ )
关键词
旅游业
经济增长
动态面板模型
tourism
regional economic development
dynamic panel data model
