摘要
利用近 10 a的报文资料 ,计算 7～ 9月西风系统暴雨出现前 2 4h,与梧州站以西、北相邻的 2 5个探空站相应的 2 8个物理量场 ,利用相关分析 ,筛选出能较好地反映西风系统暴雨天气特征的若干物理量场 ,依据动力相似的基本原理 ,作出未来 2 4h桂东暴雨落区预报。
This paper introduces a practical short term forecast method of west wind system heavy rain from July to September in eastern part of Guangxi.First,24 hours before west wind system heavy rain appears,calculate the corresponding 28 physics field of 25 sounding stations to the west and north of Wuzhou according to the data in recent ten years.Then,make relevant analysis and choose some physics fields which can better reflect the characteristics of west wind system heavy rain weather.Based on the principle of kinetics resemblance,the heavy rain falling area in the future 24 hours can be successfully forecasted.
出处
《广西气象》
2000年第3期22-24,共3页
Journal of Guangxi Meteorology
