摘要
为了探索安徽省农信社的发展对农业发展的影响,在将其他影响农业发展的因素看成是固定投入的前提下,应用平稳性检验、协整检验和格兰杰因果检验等方法对安徽省1990—2007年18年的数据进行处理,研究结果表明:安徽省信用社的规模增加和信用社发展效率提高与农业总产值是负相关关系,信用社资金支农程度与农业总产值是正相关关系;但是它们之间只有信用社发展规模增加与人均农业总产值之间是互为因果关系。
To explore the influence of Anhui rural credit cooperative development on the development of agriculture, ADF test, Co-integration test and Granger causality test were adopted to analyze the data of Anhui Province from 1990 to 2007. The results show that the increase in size of credit co-operatives and the improvement of development efficiency have a negative correlation with the gloss value of agriculture; and the degree to which credit funds support agriculture has a positive correlation with the gloss value of agricul-ture. Nevertheless, only between the increase in size of credit cooperatives and the gloss value of agriculture exists there a reciprocal causation relationship.
出处
《辽宁工程技术大学学报（社会科学版）》
2014年第2期136-138,共3页
Journal of Liaoning Technical University(Social Science Edition)
关键词
农业
农村信用社
平稳性检验
协整检验
格兰杰因果检验
agriculture
rural credit cooperatives
ADF test
Co-integration test
Granger causality test
