摘要
本文根据 1 990～ 1 997年经济数据和用电数据 ,对上海的用电结构及用电特点进行分析研究 ,找到影响电力增长的原因 ,用线性模型和关联多因子模型对今后 1 0年的上海电力需求进行预测 ,得出上海今后 1 0年的用电趋势。
Based on the data of economy and electric power consumption, this paper analyzes the structure and characteristics of electric power consumption in Shanghai to identify reasons that influence the increment of electric power consumption. Then it uses linear model and related multi factor grey model to forecast Shanghai electric power consumption trend of future 10 years.
出处
《预测》
CSSCI
2000年第4期37-41,36,共6页
Forecasting
关键词
电力需求预测
上海
电力市场
电力消费
analysis of electric power consumption
electric power demand forecasting
