摘要
从产业政策评价的角度,在廓清产能过剩本质与分类的基础上,通过研究主要国家产能利用率与经济增长率之间横向与纵向的一般规律,提出并剖析我国的"二率剪刀差"现象与成因,进而得出"我国产能过剩的根本成因是非市场因素"的基本结论。解决产能过剩可采取"二率协调"三步走战略,即短期转变70%产能利用率/8%经济增长率组合;中期达到75%产能利用率/7%经济增长率组合;长期实现80%产能利用率/5%经济增长率组合。在产业政策和改革方面,产业政策应让位于竞争政策,针对不同行业分别采取"简政放权、放松规制、改进规制"的"十二字方针"改革思路。
Based on the clarification of the essence and classification of excess capacity and by the study of general patterns of capacity utilization and economic growth relationship from horizontal and vertical views, we put forward and analyze the phenomenon and cause of ＂rate scissors of capacity utilization and economic growth＂, and get the basic conclusion that the main causes of ＂China＇s excess capacity are non-market factors＂ from the perspective of industrial policy evaluation. To deal with the excess capacity, we could adopt the three-step-strategy of ＂two rate coordination＂, namely the combination of short-term change of 70% capacity utilization rate/8% growth rate, the combination of middle-term reach of 75% capacity utilization rate/7% growth rate, and the combination of long-term achievement of 80% capacity utilization rate/5% growth rate. In the aspect of industrial policy and reform, industrial policy should give place to competition policy and adopt the reform thought of the ＂Twelve characters principle＂ of ＂decentralization, relaxing regulation and improving regulation＂ according to different industries.
出处
《改革》
CSSCI
北大核心
2014年第2期40-51,共12页
Reform
基金
天津财经大学法律经济分析与政策评价中心2013年重点研究项目。参加研究讨论和数据整理的成员还有冯博
刘玉斌
徐志伟
毕晓方
王玥
李泽华
刘郸等
关键词
产能过剩
产能过剩成因
产能过剩出路
产业结构调整
excess capacity, cause of excess capacity, solution of excess capacity, adjustment of industrial structure
